Halving poverty in Mexico

We estimate the required time and the minimum necessary growth rate to halve poverty incidence and poverty intensity in Mexico¿s rural and urban areas for a series of counterfactual distribution and growth scenarios. Results show that, given the current income distribution, per capita incomes in the...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Juan Carlos Chávez-Martín del Campo, Manuel Gómez
Formato: Artículo científico
Publicado: Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas, A.C. 2009
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Acceso en línea:http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=32312003004
http://biblioteca.clacso.edu.ar/gsdl/cgi-bin/library.cgi?a=d&c=mx/mx-010&d=32312003004oai
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Sumario:We estimate the required time and the minimum necessary growth rate to halve poverty incidence and poverty intensity in Mexico¿s rural and urban areas for a series of counterfactual distribution and growth scenarios. Results show that, given the current income distribution, per capita incomes in the rural area would have to grow faster -in some cases eight times faster- than they have done historically to shrink poverty by half by 2015. In contrast, income in the urban sector would have to grow around 1 per cent per year to reach the same goal, which seems a more reasonable outcome given its behavior in past years.