La ventaja del oficialismo en las elecciones municipales de la provincia de Buenos Aires

This paper tests for an incumbency advantage in the municipal mayoral elections in the province of Buenos Aires between 1983 and 2015 by making use of a regression discontinuity design, for the two major parties: the Partido Justicialista and the Union Civica Radical. The results suggest that the UC...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Battocchio, Matías Ezequiel
Formato: Articulo
Lenguaje:Español
Publicado: 2018
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Acceso en línea:http://sedici.unlp.edu.ar/handle/10915/71842
https://revistas.unlp.edu.ar/Economica/article/view/6136/5551
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Sumario:This paper tests for an incumbency advantage in the municipal mayoral elections in the province of Buenos Aires between 1983 and 2015 by making use of a regression discontinuity design, for the two major parties: the Partido Justicialista and the Union Civica Radical. The results suggest that the UCR enjoyed an incumbency advantage in the order of a 20 percentage point increase in the probability of winning the next election, while for the PJ this estimate is smaller and non statistically significant.