Differential sensitivities of electricity consumption to global warming across regions of Argentina
The description of the relationship between temperature [T] and electricity consumption [EC)] is key to improving our understanding of a potential climate change amplification feedback and, thus, energy planning. We sought to characterize the relationship between the EC and daily T of different regi...
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Otros Autores: | , , , |
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Formato: | Artículo |
Lenguaje: | Inglés |
Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | http://ri.agro.uba.ar/files/intranet/articulo/2021propato.pdf LINK AL EDITOR |
Aporte de: | Registro referencial: Solicitar el recurso aquí |
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245 | 0 | 0 | |a Differential sensitivities of electricity consumption to global warming across regions of Argentina |
520 | |a The description of the relationship between temperature [T] and electricity consumption [EC)] is key to improving our understanding of a potential climate change amplification feedback and, thus, energy planning. We sought to characterize the relationship between the EC and daily T of different regions of Argentina and use these historical relationships to estimate expected EC under T future scenarios. We used a time series approach to model EC, removing trends and seasonality and accounting for breaks and discontinuities. EC and T data were obtained from Argentine Wholesale Market Administrator Company and global databases, respectively. We evaluate the T-EC model for the period between 1997 and 2014 and two sub-periods: 1997-2001 and 2011-2014. We use modeled temperature projections for the 2027-2044 period based on the Representative Pathway Concentration 4.5 together with our region-specific T-EC models to predict changes in EC due to T changes. The shape of the T-EC relationships is quite stable between periods and regions but varies according to the temperature gradient. We find large increases in EC in warm days (from 40 to 126 Wh/cap/°C) and a region-specific response to cold days [from flat to steep responses]. The T at which EC was at minimum varies between 14 and 20 °C and increase in time as mean daily T also increase. Estimated temperature projections translate into an average increase factor of 7.2 in EC with contrasting relative importance between regions of Argentina. Results highlight potential sensitivity of EC to T in the developing countries. | ||
650 | 4 | |2 Agrovoc |9 26 | |
651 | 4 | |a ARGENTINA |9 74592 | |
653 | |a SHAPE | ||
653 | |a THRESHOLD TEMPERATURE | ||
653 | |a WARM TEMPERATURE REGIMES | ||
653 | |a COOL TEMPERATURE REGIMES | ||
653 | |a TIME SERIES ANALYSIS | ||
653 | |a TEMPERATURE SCENARIOS | ||
700 | 1 | |a Propato, Tamara Sofía |u Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA). Centro de Investigación de Recursos Naturales (CIRN). Instituto de Clima y Agua. Castelar - Hurlingham, Buenos Aires, Argentina. |u CONICET. Buenos Aires, Argentina. |u Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Agronomía. Departamento de Métodos Cuantitativos y Sistemas de Información. Buenos Aires, Argentina. |9 37861 | |
700 | 1 | |a Abelleyra, Diego de |u Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA). Centro de Investigación de Recursos Naturales (CIRN). Instituto de Clima y Agua. Castelar - Hurlingham, Buenos Aires, Argentina. |u Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Agronomía. Escuela para Graduados. Buenos Aires, Argentina. |9 11479 | |
700 | 1 | |a Semmartin, María |u CONICET. Buenos Aires, Argentina. |u Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Agronomía. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiológicas y Ecológicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura (IFEVA). Buenos Aires, Argentina. |u CONICET – Universidad de Buenos Aires. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiológicas y Ecológicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura (IFEVA). Buenos Aires, Argentina. |9 7454 | |
700 | 1 | |a Verón, Santiago Ramón |u Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA). Centro de Investigación de Recursos Naturales (CIRN). Instituto de Clima y Agua. Castelar - Hurlingham, Buenos Aires, Argentina. |u CONICET. Buenos Aires, Argentina. |u Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Agronomía. Departamento de Métodos Cuantitativos y Sistemas de Información. Buenos Aires, Argentina. |9 11455 | |
773 | |t Climatic Change |g Vol.166, no.1-2 (2021), art.25, 18 p., tbls., grafs., mapas | ||
856 | |q application/pdf |f 2021propato |i En reservorio |u http://ri.agro.uba.ar/files/intranet/articulo/2021propato.pdf |x ARTI202311 | ||
856 | |u http://www.springer.com/ |z LINK AL EDITOR | ||
942 | |c ARTICULO | ||
942 | |c ENLINEA | ||
976 | |a AAG |