Individual consistency in the accuracy and distribution of confidence judgments

We examine which aspects of the confidence distributions - its shape, its bias toward higher or lower values, and its ability to distinguish correct from erred trials - are idiosyncratic of the who (individual specificity), the when (variability across days) and the what (task specificity). Measurin...

Descripción completa

Guardado en:
Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Ais, J.
Otros Autores: Zylberberg, A., Barttfeld, P., Sigman, M.
Formato: Capítulo de libro
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier B.V. 2016
Acceso en línea:Registro en Scopus
DOI
Handle
Registro en la Biblioteca Digital
Aporte de:Registro referencial: Solicitar el recurso aquí
LEADER 14973caa a22014777a 4500
001 PAPER-16482
003 AR-BaUEN
005 20230518204730.0
008 190411s2016 xx ||||fo|||| 00| 0 eng|d
024 7 |2 scopus  |a 2-s2.0-84945966893 
040 |a Scopus  |b spa  |c AR-BaUEN  |d AR-BaUEN 
030 |a CGTNA 
100 1 |a Ais, J. 
245 1 0 |a Individual consistency in the accuracy and distribution of confidence judgments 
260 |b Elsevier B.V.  |c 2016 
270 1 0 |m Sigman, M.; Laboratory of Integrative Neuroscience, Physics Department, Buenos Aires University, Pabellón I, Ciudad Universitaria (1428), Argentina; email: sigman@df.uba.ar 
506 |2 openaire  |e Política editorial 
504 |a Adams, J.K., Adams, P.A., Realism of confidence judgments (1961) Psychological Review, 68 (1), p. 33 
504 |a Baird, B., Smallwood, J., Gorgolewski, K.J., Margulies, D.S., Medial and lateral networks in anterior prefrontal cortex support metacognitive ability for memory and perception (2013) The Journal of Neuroscience, 33 (42), pp. 16657-16665 
504 |a Barttfeld, P., Wicker, B., McAleer, P., Belin, P., Cojan, Y., Graziano, M., Sigman, M., Distinct patterns of functional brain connectivity correlate with objective performance and subjective beliefs (2013) Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 110 (28), pp. 11577-11582 
504 |a Dienes, Z., Subjective measures of unconscious knowledge (2007) Progress in Brain Research, 168, pp. 49-269 
504 |a Drevets, W.C., Price, J.L., Simpson, J.R., Todd, R.D., Reich, T., Vannier, M., Raichle, M.E., Subgenual prefrontal cortex abnormalities in mood disorders (1997) Nature, 386 (6627), pp. 824-827 
504 |a Efron, B., Tibshirani, R.J., (1994) An introduction to the bootstrap, , CRC Press 
504 |a Erev, I., Wallsten, T.S., Budescu, D.V., Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes (1994) Psychological Review, 101 (3), pp. 519-527 
504 |a Fleming, S.M., Lau, H.C., How to measure metacognition (2014) Frontiers in Human Neuroscience, 8 
504 |a Fleming, S.M., Weil, R.S., Nagy, Z., Dolan, R.J., Rees, G., Relating introspective accuracy to individual differences in brain structure (2010) Science, 329 (5998), p. 1541 
504 |a Galvin, S.J., Podd, J.V., Drga, V., Whitmore, J., Type 2 tasks in the theory of signal detectability: Discrimination between correct and incorrect decisions (2003) Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 10 (4), pp. 843-876 
504 |a Gigerenzer, G., Hoffrage, U., Kleinbolting, H., Probabilistic mental models: A Brunswikian theory of confidence (1991) Psychological Review, 98 (4), pp. 506-528 
504 |a Graziano, M., Sigman, M., The dynamics of sensory buffers: Geometric, spatial, and experience-dependent shaping of iconic memory. (2008) Journal of Vision, 8 (5), pp. 1-13. , 9 
504 |a Graziano, M., Parra, L.C., Sigman, M., Neurophysiology of perceived confidence. Paper presented at the engineering in medicine and biology society (EMBC) (2010) 2010 Annual International Conference of the IEEE. 
504 |a Graziano, M., Sigman, M., The spatial and temporal construction of confidence in the visual scene (2009) PLoS ONE, 4 (3), p. e4909 
504 |a Griffin, D., Tversky, A., The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence (1992) Cognitive Psychology, 24 (3), pp. 411-435 
504 |a Hartigan, J.A., Hartigan, P.M., The dip test of unimodality (1985) The Annals of Statistics, 13 (1), pp. 70-84 
504 |a Hastie, T., Tibshirani, R., Friedman, J., Hastie, T., Friedman, J., Tibshirani, R., (2009) The elements of statistical learning, 2. , Springer 
504 |a Juslin, P., Winman, A., Olsson, H., Naive empiricism and dogmatism in confidence research: A critical examination of the hard-easy effect (2000) Psychological Review, 107 (2), p. 384 
504 |a Karelitz, T.M., Budescu, D.V., You say" probable" and I say" likely": Improving interpersonal communication with verbal probability phrases (2004) Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 10 (1), p. 25 
504 |a Kepecs, A., Uchida, N., Zariwala, H.A., Mainen, Z.F., Neural correlates, computation and behavioural impact of decision confidence (2008) Nature, 455 (7210), pp. 227-231 
504 |a Kiani, R., Shadlen, M.N., Representation of confidence associated with a decision by neurons in the parietal cortex (2009) Science, 324 (5928), p. 759 
504 |a Klayman, J., Soll, J.B., González-Vallejo, C., Barlas, S., Overconfidence: It depends on how, what, and whom you ask (1999) Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 79 (3), pp. 216-247 
504 |a Komura, Y., Nikkuni, A., Hirashima, N., Uetake, T., Miyamoto, A., Responses of pulvinar neurons reflect a subject's confidence in visual categorization (2013) Nature Neuroscience, 16 (6), pp. 749-755 
504 |a Lau, H., Rosenthal, D., Empirical support for higher-order theories of conscious awareness (2011) Trends in Cognitive Sciences, 15 (8), pp. 365-373 
504 |a Lichtenstein, S., Fischhoff, B., Phillips, L.D., (1977) Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art, , Springer 
504 |a Likert, R., A technique for the measurement of attitudes (1932) Archives of Psychology, 140, pp. 1-55 
504 |a Lovallo, D., Kahneman, D., Delusions of success. How optimism undermines executives' decisions (2003) Harvard Business Review, 81 (7), pp. 56-63. , 117 
504 |a Maniscalco, B., Lau, H., A signal detection theoretic approach for estimating metacognitive sensitivity from confidence ratings (2012) Consciousness and Cognition, 21 (1), pp. 422-430 
504 |a May, R.S., Scholz, R.W., (1986) Overconfidence as a result of incomplete and wrong knowledge, , Peter Lang Publishing, New York, NY 
504 |a McCurdy, L.Y., Maniscalco, B., Metcalfe, J., Liu, K.Y., de Lange, F.P., Lau, H., Anatomical coupling between distinct metacognitive systems for memory and visual perception (2013) The Journal of Neuroscience, 33 (5), pp. 1897-1906 
504 |a Middlebrooks, P.G., Sommer, M.A., Neuronal correlates of metacognition in primate frontal cortex (2012) Neuron, 75 (3), pp. 517-530 
504 |a Overgaard, M., Sandberg, K., Kinds of access: Different methods for report reveal different kinds of metacognitive access (2012) Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 367 (1594), pp. 1287-1296 
504 |a Perczek, R., Carver, C.S., Price, A.A., Pozo-Kaderman, C., Coping, mood, and aspects of personality in Spanish translation and evidence of convergence with English versions (2000) Journal of Personality Assessment, 74 (1), pp. 63-87 
504 |a Persaud, N., McLeod, P., Cowey, A., Post-decision wagering objectively measures awareness (2007) Nature Neuroscience, 10 (2), pp. 257-261 
504 |a Phillips, L.D., Wright, C., (1977) Cultural differences in viewing uncertainty and assessing probabilities, , Springer 
504 |a Pleskac, T.J., Busemeyer, J.R., Two-stage dynamic signal detection: A theory of choice, decision time, and confidence (2010) Psychological Review, 117 (3), pp. 864-901 
504 |a Plomin, R., Scheier, M.F., Bergeman, C.S., Pedersen, N.L., Nesselroade, J.R., McClearn, G.E., Optimism, pessimism and mental health: A twin/adoption analysis (1992) Personality and Individual Differences, 13 (8), pp. 921-930 
504 |a Scheier, M.F., Carver, C.S., Dispositional optimism and physical well-being: The influence of generalized outcome expectancies on health (1987) Journal of Personality, 55 (2), pp. 169-210 
504 |a Scheier, M.F., Carver, C.S., Bridges, M.W., Distinguishing optimism from neuroticism (and trait anxiety, self-mastery, and self-esteem): A reevaluation of the Life Orientation Test (1994) Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 67 (6), pp. 1063-1078 
504 |a Song, C., Kanai, R., Fleming, S.M., Weil, R.S., Schwarzkopf, D.S., Rees, G., Relating inter-individual differences in metacognitive performance on different perceptual tasks (2011) Consciousness and Cognition, 20 (4), pp. 1787-1792 
504 |a Spearman, C., (1904) The abilities of man. New York. 
504 |a Stankov, L., Crawford, J.D., Confidence judgments in studies of individual differences (1996) Personality and Individual Differences, 21 (6), pp. 971-986 
504 |a Swets, J.A., Tanner, J., Wilson, P., Birdsall, T.G., (1961) Psychological Review, 68 (5), pp. 301-340. , (September) 
504 |a Taylor, S.E., Brown, J.D., Illusion and well-being: A social psychological perspective on mental health (1988) Psychological Bulletin, 103 (2), pp. 193-210 
504 |a Tunney, R.J., Sources of confidence judgments in implicit cognition (2005) Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 12 (2), pp. 367-373 
504 |a Tunney, R.J., Shanks, D.R., Subjective measures of awareness and implicit cognition (2003) Memory & Cognition, 31 (7), pp. 1060-1071 
504 |a Tversky, A., Kahneman, D., Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (1974) Science, 185 (4157), pp. 1124-1131 
504 |a Wallsten, T.S., Budescu, D.V., A review of human linguistic probability processing: General principles and empirical evidence (1995) The Knowledge Engineering Review, 10 (1), pp. 43-62 
504 |a Wallsten, T.S., Budescu, D.V., Rapoport, A., Zwick, R., Forsyth, B., Measuring the vague meanings of probability terms (1986) Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 115 (4), p. 348 
504 |a Watson, A.B., Pelli, D.G., QUEST: A Bayesian adaptive psychometric method (1983) Attention, Perception and Psychophysics, 33 (2), pp. 113-120 
504 |a Weinstein, N.D., Unrealistic optimism about future life events (1980) Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 39 (5), p. 806 
504 |a Wright, G.N., Phillips, L.D., Whalley, P.C., Choo, G.T., Ng, K.-O., Tan, I., Wisudha, A., Cultural differences in probabilistic thinking (1978) Journal of Cross-Cultural Psychology, 9 (3), pp. 285-299 
504 |a Yu, S., Pleskac, T.J., Zeigenfuse, M.D., Dynamics of postdecisional processing of confidence (vol 144, pg 489, 2015) (2015) Journal of Experimental Psychology - General, 144 (3). , 638-638 
504 |a Zylberberg, A., Barttfeld, P., Sigman, M., The construction of confidence in a perceptual decision (2012) Frontiers in Integrative Neuroscience, 6 (79) 
504 |a Zylberberg, A., Roelfsema, P.R., Sigman, M., Variance misperception explains illusions of confidence in simple perceptual decisions (2014) Consciousness and Cognition, 27, pp. 246-253 
520 3 |a We examine which aspects of the confidence distributions - its shape, its bias toward higher or lower values, and its ability to distinguish correct from erred trials - are idiosyncratic of the who (individual specificity), the when (variability across days) and the what (task specificity). Measuring confidence across different sessions of four different perceptual tasks we show that: (1) Confidence distributions are virtually identical when measured in different days for the same subject and the same task, constituting a subjective fingerprint, (2) The capacity of confidence reports to distinguish correct from incorrect responses is only modestly (but significantly) correlated when compared across tasks, (3) Confidence distributions are very similar for tasks that involve different sensory modalities but have similar structure, (4) Confidence accuracy is independent of the mean and width of the confidence distribution, (5) The mean of the confidence distribution (an individual's confidence bias) constitutes the most efficient indicator to infer a subject's identity from confidence reports and (6) Confidence bias measured in simple perceptual decisions correlates with an individual's optimism bias measured with standard questionnaire. © 2015 Elsevier B.V.  |l eng 
536 |a Detalles de la financiación: James S. McDonnell Foundation 
536 |a Detalles de la financiación: Secretaría de Ciencia y Técnica, Universidad de Buenos Aires 
536 |a Detalles de la financiación: M.S.I. Foundation 
536 |a Detalles de la financiación: Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas 
536 |a Detalles de la financiación: This study was funded by CONICET and UBACYT . M.S. is sponsored by a scholar award of the James McDonnell Foundation. Appendix A 
593 |a Laboratory of Integrative Neuroscience, Physics Department, FCEyN UBA and IFIBA, Conicet, Pabellón 1, Ciudad Universitaria, Buenos Aires, 1428, Argentina 
593 |a Universidad Torcuato Di Tella, Almirante Juan Saenz Valiente 1010, Buenos Aires, C1428BIJ, Argentina 
593 |a Laboratory of Applied Artificial Intelligence, Computer Science Department, FCEyN UBA, Pabellón 1, Ciudad Universitaria, Buenos Aires, 1428, Argentina 
593 |a Howard Hughes Medical Institute, Department of Neuroscience and Kavli Institute for Brain Science, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032, United States 
593 |a Cognitive Neuroimaging Unit, Institut National de la Sante et de la Recherche Medicale, U992, Gif/Yvette, 91191, France 
690 1 0 |a CONFIDENCE 
690 1 0 |a METACOGNITIVE JUDGMENTS 
690 1 0 |a PERCEPTUAL DECISIONS 
690 1 0 |a PSYCHOPHYSICS 
690 1 0 |a ACCURACY 
690 1 0 |a ADULT 
690 1 0 |a ARTICLE 
690 1 0 |a COGNITIVE BIAS 
690 1 0 |a DECISION MAKING 
690 1 0 |a FEMALE 
690 1 0 |a HUMAN 
690 1 0 |a HUMAN EXPERIMENT 
690 1 0 |a INTERNAL CONSISTENCY 
690 1 0 |a MALE 
690 1 0 |a OPTIMISM 
690 1 0 |a PESSIMISM 
690 1 0 |a PRIORITY JOURNAL 
690 1 0 |a QUESTIONNAIRE 
690 1 0 |a TASK PERFORMANCE 
690 1 0 |a DECISION MAKING 
690 1 0 |a METACOGNITION 
690 1 0 |a PERCEPTION 
690 1 0 |a PHYSIOLOGY 
690 1 0 |a YOUNG ADULT 
690 1 0 |a ADULT 
690 1 0 |a FEMALE 
690 1 0 |a HUMANS 
690 1 0 |a JUDGMENT 
690 1 0 |a MALE 
690 1 0 |a METACOGNITION 
690 1 0 |a PERCEPTION 
690 1 0 |a YOUNG ADULT 
700 1 |a Zylberberg, A. 
700 1 |a Barttfeld, P. 
700 1 |a Sigman, M. 
773 0 |d Elsevier B.V., 2016  |g v. 146  |h pp. 377-386  |p Cognition  |x 00100277  |w (AR-BaUEN)CENRE-4225  |t Cognition 
856 4 1 |u https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84945966893&doi=10.1016%2fj.cognition.2015.10.006&partnerID=40&md5=130a0dac3efc7bc3ba607e02a837f820  |y Registro en Scopus 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cognition.2015.10.006  |y DOI 
856 4 0 |u https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_00100277_v146_n_p377_Ais  |y Handle 
856 4 0 |u https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_00100277_v146_n_p377_Ais  |y Registro en la Biblioteca Digital 
961 |a paper_00100277_v146_n_p377_Ais  |b paper  |c PE 
962 |a info:eu-repo/semantics/article  |a info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo  |b info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion 
999 |c 77435