Parana River morphodynamics in the context of climate change
This paper presents an analysis of the sediment dynamics that takes place at different scales within the Middle and the Lower Parana River in the La Plata Basin. The aim of this study is to provide a multi-disciplinary and multi-scale approach for the prediction of river future morphology in the con...
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paper:paper_15715124_v11_n4_p423_Guerrero2023-06-08T16:24:37Z Parana River morphodynamics in the context of climate change Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio Montroull, Natalia Blanca climate change impact morphodynamics Parana River river morphology sediment transport climate change climate modeling fluvial geomorphology hydrological modeling meander morphodynamics numerical model sediment transport streamflow La Plata Basin Parana River This paper presents an analysis of the sediment dynamics that takes place at different scales within the Middle and the Lower Parana River in the La Plata Basin. The aim of this study is to provide a multi-disciplinary and multi-scale approach for the prediction of river future morphology in the context of climate change, the intended use of which is the prognosis of river morphodynamics' long-term impact on manmade structures and activities over or near the river. The study is based on three levels of mathematical modelling, with the output of wider-scale models providing the input conditions for more specific ones. Climate models give the input ensemble, i.e. future precipitation and temperature over La Plata Basin. The semi-distributed macroscale variable infiltration capacity hydrological model simulates the flow discharge time series that are applied to an own-developed 1D morphodynamic model. The 1D model simulates future rate of sediment transport and corresponding bed-level changes at watershed scale and provides the boundary conditions for a 2D model. Therefore, streamflow divagations at channel scale are simulated by means of the MIKE21C code developed by the Danish Hydraulic Institute. The analysis indicates a rather low sensitivity of the Parana River bed profile, i.e. 1D morphology, to the increase predicted in flow discharge, whereas the streamflow appreciably divagates. In particular, surpassing an upper bound in the most frequent discharge appears effective in driving the actual bifurcated morphology into a meandering-multithread configuration. © 2013 © 2013 International Association for Hydro-Environment Engineering and Research. Fil:Saurral, R. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. Fil:Montroull, N. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. 2013 https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_15715124_v11_n4_p423_Guerrero http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_15715124_v11_n4_p423_Guerrero |
institution |
Universidad de Buenos Aires |
institution_str |
I-28 |
repository_str |
R-134 |
collection |
Biblioteca Digital - Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales (UBA) |
topic |
climate change impact morphodynamics Parana River river morphology sediment transport climate change climate modeling fluvial geomorphology hydrological modeling meander morphodynamics numerical model sediment transport streamflow La Plata Basin Parana River |
spellingShingle |
climate change impact morphodynamics Parana River river morphology sediment transport climate change climate modeling fluvial geomorphology hydrological modeling meander morphodynamics numerical model sediment transport streamflow La Plata Basin Parana River Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio Montroull, Natalia Blanca Parana River morphodynamics in the context of climate change |
topic_facet |
climate change impact morphodynamics Parana River river morphology sediment transport climate change climate modeling fluvial geomorphology hydrological modeling meander morphodynamics numerical model sediment transport streamflow La Plata Basin Parana River |
description |
This paper presents an analysis of the sediment dynamics that takes place at different scales within the Middle and the Lower Parana River in the La Plata Basin. The aim of this study is to provide a multi-disciplinary and multi-scale approach for the prediction of river future morphology in the context of climate change, the intended use of which is the prognosis of river morphodynamics' long-term impact on manmade structures and activities over or near the river. The study is based on three levels of mathematical modelling, with the output of wider-scale models providing the input conditions for more specific ones. Climate models give the input ensemble, i.e. future precipitation and temperature over La Plata Basin. The semi-distributed macroscale variable infiltration capacity hydrological model simulates the flow discharge time series that are applied to an own-developed 1D morphodynamic model. The 1D model simulates future rate of sediment transport and corresponding bed-level changes at watershed scale and provides the boundary conditions for a 2D model. Therefore, streamflow divagations at channel scale are simulated by means of the MIKE21C code developed by the Danish Hydraulic Institute. The analysis indicates a rather low sensitivity of the Parana River bed profile, i.e. 1D morphology, to the increase predicted in flow discharge, whereas the streamflow appreciably divagates. In particular, surpassing an upper bound in the most frequent discharge appears effective in driving the actual bifurcated morphology into a meandering-multithread configuration. © 2013 © 2013 International Association for Hydro-Environment Engineering and Research. |
author |
Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio Montroull, Natalia Blanca |
author_facet |
Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio Montroull, Natalia Blanca |
author_sort |
Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio |
title |
Parana River morphodynamics in the context of climate change |
title_short |
Parana River morphodynamics in the context of climate change |
title_full |
Parana River morphodynamics in the context of climate change |
title_fullStr |
Parana River morphodynamics in the context of climate change |
title_full_unstemmed |
Parana River morphodynamics in the context of climate change |
title_sort |
parana river morphodynamics in the context of climate change |
publishDate |
2013 |
url |
https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_15715124_v11_n4_p423_Guerrero http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_15715124_v11_n4_p423_Guerrero |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT saurralramiroignacio paranarivermorphodynamicsinthecontextofclimatechange AT montroullnataliablanca paranarivermorphodynamicsinthecontextofclimatechange |
_version_ |
1768546556083961856 |